Gladsaxe Stadium · Referee J. Nielsen · Analysis updated 05:45 UTC
AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.52 for FC Fredericia, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives FC Fredericia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
FC Fredericia to Win
48.4% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.52
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
74%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–29.0%
- 1–08.1%
Why the model likes this
AB Copenhagen home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Fredericia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 26% / 26% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for AB Copenhagen and 1.52 for FC Fredericia, a combined 2.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
AB Copenhagen
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)
FC Fredericia
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vejle | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Hvidovre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Hobro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Esbjerg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Vendsyssel FF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | AB Copenhagen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 12 | HB Koge | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.