Urheilupuiston Ylakentta · Analysis updated 04:25 UTC
ÅIFK vs Ilves II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for ÅIFK and 1.59 for Ilves II, a combined total of 3.66. That distribution gives ÅIFK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
ÅIFK to Win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
2.08 – 1.59
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.8%
- 1–18.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Ilves II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ÅIFK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 21% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.08 goals for ÅIFK and 1.59 for Ilves II, a combined 3.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 70%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
ÅIFK
Ilves II
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.