Anderlecht vs Kortrijk Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.38 expected goals for Anderlecht and 1.03 for Kortrijk, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Anderlecht the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.

Model pick

Anderlecht to Win

67.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.38 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Anderlecht win67%

Draw18%

Kortrijk win15%

Double chance 1X

85%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

2–19.6%
2–09.4%
1–18.1%
1–07.9%
3–17.6%

Why the model likes this

Anderlecht home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Anderlecht to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 18% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.38 goals for Anderlecht and 1.03 for Kortrijk, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 58%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Anderlecht

2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby FF · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby FF · 1-1 (D)

Kortrijk

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Jupiler Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Brugge KV	2	2	0	0	6	6
2	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Union St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	4	4
4	Zulte Waregem	2	1	1	0	1	4
5	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	2	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	1	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	0	3
9	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	0	2
10	St. Truiden	2	0	2	0	0	2
11	Standard Liege	1	0	1	0	0	1
12	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	0	1
13	SK Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	RAAL La Louvière	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	KV Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	KVC Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	OH Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.