World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round16:00
Auda

10

Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Skonto stadions · Referee J. Munuera · Analysis updated 01:49 UTC

Auda vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Auda and 1.88 for Dinamo Tirana, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Auda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Auda to Win

46.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Auda win46%
Draw20%
Dinamo Tirana win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 3–15.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Dinamo Tirana away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Auda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 20% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.20 goals for Auda and 1.88 for Dinamo Tirana, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Auda

    Dinamo Tirana

    • 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Auda · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auda · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Aluminij · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astana · 4-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.