Skonto stadions · Referee J. Munuera · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC
Auda vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Auda and 1.88 for Dinamo Tirana, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Auda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Auda to Win
46.0% probability
Expected goals
2.20 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–17.0%
- 1–26.6%
- 3–15.7%
Why the model likes this
Dinamo Tirana away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Auda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 20% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Auda and 1.88 for Dinamo Tirana, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Auda
Dinamo Tirana
- 2026-08-13T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Auda · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Auda · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-23T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Aluminij · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Astana · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.