Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Balkan Botevgrad and 1.78 for Levski Sofia II, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Levski Sofia II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Levski Sofia II or Draw

65.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Balkan Botevgrad win35%

Draw23%

Levski Sofia II win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

1–19.7%
1–28.7%
2–17.7%
2–26.9%
0–16.1%

Why the model likes this

Levski Sofia II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levski Sofia II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Balkan Botevgrad and 1.78 for Levski Sofia II, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Balkan Botevgrad

Levski Sofia II

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia II · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Belasitsa · 5-4 (W)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Sofia II · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-29T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Septemvri Sofia II · 0-2 (L)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kostinbrod · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third League - Southwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	2	2	0	0	4	6
2	Septemvri Simitli	2	2	0	0	3	6
3	Septemvri Sofia II	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	Bansko	2	1	1	0	3	4
5	Strumska Slava	2	1	1	0	2	4
6	Belasitsa	2	1	0	1	1	3
7	Levski Sofia II	2	1	0	1	0	3
8	Botev Ihtiman	2	1	0	1	0	3
9	Kostinbrod	2	1	0	1	0	3
10	Slavia Sofia II	2	1	0	1	0	3
11	Kyustendil	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Oborishte	2	0	2	0	0	2
13	CSKA Sofia III	2	0	2	0	0	2
14	Natsional Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Chavdar Etropole	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Slivnishki geroy	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Balkan Botevgrad	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Pirin Razlog	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.