· Analysis updated 00:28 UTC
Balkan Botevgrad vs Levski Sofia II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.59 expected goals for Balkan Botevgrad and 1.78 for Levski Sofia II, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Levski Sofia II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Levski Sofia II or Draw
65.3% probability
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.1%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Levski Sofia II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 35% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.59 goals for Balkan Botevgrad and 1.78 for Levski Sofia II, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 66%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Levski Sofia II or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Balkan Botevgrad
Levski Sofia II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Septemvri Simitli | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Septemvri Sofia II | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bansko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Strumska Slava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belasitsa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Levski Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Botev Ihtiman | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Kostinbrod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Slavia Sofia II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Kyustendil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Oborishte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | CSKA Sofia III | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Natsional Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Slivnishki geroy | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Balkan Botevgrad | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.