Hungary · NB III - Southeast · Southeast - 813:00

13:00 UTC

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 03:53 UTC

Bekescsaba 1912 vs Hódmezővásárhely Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.11 for Hódmezővásárhely, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Bekescsaba 1912 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Bekescsaba 1912 to Win

46.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.11

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Bekescsaba 1912 win46%
Draw26%
Hódmezővásárhely win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score52%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–18.2%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bekescsaba 1912 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 26% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.11 for Hódmezővásárhely, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Bekescsaba 1912 to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Bekescsaba 1912

    Hódmezővásárhely

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      NB III - Southeast table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Gyulai Termál44001412
      2III. Kerületi TUE44001012
      3Szeged-Csanád II330059
      4Szolnoki MAV FC321057
      5Dabas3201-16
      6Csepel4121-15
      7Újpest II311154
      8ESMTK311104
      9Monori Se4112-14
      10Sándorfalva4103-123
      11Vasas II202002
      12Bekescsaba 19124022-42
      13Hódmezővásárhely4022-62
      14Honvéd II2011-11
      15Szegedi VSE4013-31
      16BKV Előre3003-100

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.