Bekescsaba 1912 vs Hódmezővásárhely Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Bekescsaba 1912 and 1.80 for Hódmezővásárhely, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Hódmezővásárhely the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bekescsaba 1912 home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hódmezővásárhely away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Bekescsaba 1912 win38%

Draw22%

Hódmezővásárhely win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals69%

Over 3.5 goals47%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–19.0%
1–28.1%
2–17.9%
2–27.1%
0–15.2%

Recent form

Bekescsaba 1912

2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sándorfalva · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs BKV Előre · 4-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hódmezővásárhely · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Csepel · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ESMTK · 3-3 (D)

Hódmezővásárhely

2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Szeged-Csanád II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas II · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bekescsaba 1912 · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sándorfalva · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · A vs BKV Előre · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 3-1 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2026-01-21T16:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 7-0 Hódmezővásárhely (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-01-25T10:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 2-1 Hódmezővásárhely (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-11-18T12:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 1-0 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2023-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 3-1 Hódmezővásárhely (NB III - Southeast)
2023-01-14T10:00:00.000Z · Bekescsaba 1912 1-3 Hódmezővásárhely (Friendlies Clubs)

NB III - Southeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gyulai Termál	13	13	0	0	34	39
2	ESMTK	12	8	3	1	21	27
3	III. Kerületi TUE	13	8	2	3	10	26
4	Szeged-Csanád II	13	6	5	2	8	23
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	7	20
6	Vasas II	13	5	4	4	11	19
7	Újpest II	12	5	4	3	10	19
8	Monori Se	13	3	6	4	-1	15
9	Dabas	13	4	3	6	-12	15
10	Bekescsaba 1912	13	3	5	5	0	14
11	Szolnoki MAV FC	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Honvéd II	13	3	3	7	-2	12
13	Sándorfalva	13	3	2	8	-22	11
14	Hódmezővásárhely	13	1	6	6	-12	9
15	BKV Előre	12	2	2	8	-28	8
16	Szegedi VSE	12	1	3	8	-21	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.