· Analysis updated 01:31 UTC
Brusque vs Amazonas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Brusque and 1.00 for Amazonas, a combined total of 2.48. That distribution gives Brusque the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Brusque to Win
48.1% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.4%
- 1–112.4%
- 2–09.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.4%
Why the model likes this
Amazonas away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brusque to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 26% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Brusque and 1.00 for Amazonas, a combined 2.48 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Brusque
Amazonas
- 2026-08-15T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Botafogo PB · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Maringá · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Paysandu · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Inter De Limeira · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-07T00:00:00.000Z · H vs AO Itabaiana · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter De Limeira | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Brusque | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Guarani Campinas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Ypiranga-RS | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Caxias | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 |
| 10 | Ferroviária | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Maringá | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 14 | Floresta | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Maranhão | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Figueirense | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 21 |
| 17 | AO Itabaiana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 19 | Barra | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 15 |
| 20 | Confiança | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.