· Analysis updated 00:24 UTC
Brusque vs Amazonas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Brusque and 0.94 for Amazonas, a combined total of 2.46. That distribution gives Brusque the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.
Model pick
Brusque to Win
50.7% probability
Expected goals
1.52 – 0.94
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.5%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Brusque to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 26% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Brusque and 0.94 for Amazonas, a combined 2.46 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Model confidence
Brusque to Win is the headline pick at 51% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Brusque
Amazonas
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter De Limeira | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Brusque | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | Guarani Campinas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Ypiranga-RS | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 | Amazonas | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Caxias | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 |
| 10 | Ferroviária | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Maringá | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 13 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -9 | 21 |
| 14 | Floresta | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Maranhão | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Figueirense | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -5 | 21 |
| 17 | AO Itabaiana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 15 |
| 19 | Barra | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 15 |
| 20 | Confiança | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.