USA · Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 820:30

23

Saturday, 18 April 2026

Inter MiamiLDWWW

Empower Field at Mile High · Referee J. Freemon · Analysis updated 04:10 UTC

Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.85 for Inter Miami, a combined total of 3.80. That distribution gives Colorado Rapids the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Colorado Rapids or Draw

62.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Colorado Rapids win41%
Draw21%
Inter Miami win38%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–18.1%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Colorado Rapids to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.85 for Inter Miami, a combined 3.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 73% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

  • Model confidence

    Colorado Rapids or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Colorado Rapids

    Inter Miami

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Major League Soccer table

      Full league page →
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      5Real Salt Lake17836427
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      7St. Louis City18756026
      8Portland Timbers18738024
      9Seattle Sounders17737-224
      10Minnesota United FC18666-524
      11Colorado Rapids187110222
      12Los Angeles Galaxy20578-622
      13San Diego18567321
      14Austin18459-1417
      15Sporting Kansas City184212-2814
      1Nashville SC1913422443
      2Inter Miami1911531038
      3New England Revolution19937430
      4Chicago Fire17926929
      5Charlotte19847428
      6FC Cincinnati19766127
      7New York City FC18756726
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      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.