USA · Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 820:30

23

Saturday, 18 April 2026

Inter MiamiLDWWW

Empower Field at Mile High · Referee J. Freemon · Analysis updated 06:07 UTC

Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.78 for Inter Miami, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Colorado Rapids the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Colorado Rapids or Draw

64.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Colorado Rapids win43%
Draw21%
Inter Miami win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 3–15.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Colorado Rapids home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Colorado Rapids to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.78 for Inter Miami, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Colorado Rapids

  • 2026-08-16T01:30:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Kansas City · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T01:30:00.000Z · H vs Austin · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T00:30:00.000Z · A vs St. Louis City · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T01:30:00.000Z · H vs San Diego · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Juarez · 1-1 (D)

Inter Miami

  • 2026-08-16T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Nashville SC · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Leon · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Monterrey · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-05T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico San Luis · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Columbus Crew · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Major League Soccer table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Houston Dynamo191126435
2Vancouver Whitecaps1710432134
3Los Angeles FC2010461534
4San Jose Earthquakes1910361133
5St. Louis City19856229
6Real Salt Lake18846428
7FC Dallas18765727
8Colorado Rapids198110425
9Minnesota United FC19676-525
10Portland Timbers18738024
11Seattle Sounders17737-224
12San Diego19667424
13Los Angeles Galaxy20578-622
14Austin18459-1417
15Sporting Kansas City194213-3014
1Nashville SC1913422443
2Inter Miami1911531038
3New England Revolution19937430
4Chicago Fire17926929
5Charlotte19847428
6FC Cincinnati19766127
7New York City FC18756726
8New York Red Bulls19748-1125
9DC United19595-324
10Orlando City SC196310-1721
11Columbus Crew19559-420
12Toronto FC19487-720
13CF Montreal194510-1117
14Philadelphia Union184410-816
15Atlanta United FC194312-1315

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.