Estadio Tierra de Campeones · Analysis updated 00:50 UTC
Deportes Iquique vs San Luis Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.32 for San Luis, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Deportes Iquique the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Deportes Iquique or Draw
66.1% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.9%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deportes Iquique to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Deportes Iquique and 1.32 for San Luis, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
Deportes Iquique or Draw is the headline pick at 66% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Deportes Iquique
San Luis
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Primera B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 | Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 30 |
| 5 | San Marcos de Arica | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | D. Puerto Montt | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | San Luis | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 24 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 20 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.