Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for FC Thun, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Dinamo Zagreb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 35%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 35% favourite still loses or draws roughly 65% of the time.

Model pick

Dinamo Zagreb or Draw

65.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Zagreb win35%

Draw31%

FC Thun win35%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

66%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

0–013.5%
0–113.5%
1–013.5%
1–113.5%
0–26.8%

Why the model likes this

Dinamo Zagreb home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Zagreb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 35%, against 35% / 31% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for FC Thun, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 40%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Dinamo Zagreb

2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudes · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kauno Žalgiris · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Kauno Žalgiris · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Slaven Belupo · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Thun · 3-2 (W)

FC Thun

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.