Germany · U19 Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1312:00

02

Saturday, 16 May 2026

· Analysis updated 23:44 UTC

Elversberg U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.18 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Elversberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Elversberg U19 or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Elversberg U19 win44%
Draw26%
Greuther Fürth U19 win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Elversberg U19 home form

    0 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Elversberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Elversberg U19 and 1.18 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Elversberg U19

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Bayer Leverkusen U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Wehen Wiesbaden U19 · 3-7 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Pirmasens U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Saarbrücken U19 · 2-2 (D)

Greuther Fürth U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.