World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round16:00

51

Wednesday, 12 August 2026

Parken Stadium · Referee J. Pignard · Analysis updated 01:53 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.72 for Debreceni VSC, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

FC Copenhagen to Win

60.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Copenhagen win60%
Draw24%
Debreceni VSC win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 1–015.2%
  • 2–012.7%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–09.1%

Why the model likes this

  • FC Copenhagen home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FC Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 24% / 16% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.68 goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.72 for Debreceni VSC, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 42%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

FC Copenhagen

  • 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Debreceni VSC · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Debreceni VSC · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Silkeborg · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Polessya · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyngby · 3-2 (W)

Debreceni VSC

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.