FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.73 for Debreceni VSC, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Copenhagen win

60.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

FC Copenhagen home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Debreceni VSC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Copenhagen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 24% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.73 for Debreceni VSC, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

FC Copenhagen win60%

Draw24%

Debreceni VSC win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

1–015.2%
2–012.7%
1–111.0%
2–19.2%
0–09.1%

Recent form

FC Copenhagen

2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Braga · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 0-2 (L)

Debreceni VSC

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Budapest Honved · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferencvarosi TC · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vasas · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · FC Copenhagen 5-1 Debreceni VSC (UEFA Europa Conference League)
2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · FC Copenhagen 3-0 Debreceni VSC (UEFA Europa Conference League)

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	FC Lugano	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Trabzonspor	2	2	0	0	4	6
5	Twente	2	2	0	0	4	6
6	Monaco	2	2	0	0	4	6
7	St. Truiden	2	2	0	0	3	6
8	HNK Hajduk Split	2	2	0	0	2	6
9	Brighton	2	1	1	0	4	4
10	FC Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	3	4
11	Universitatea Craiova	2	1	1	0	2	4
12	Mjallby AIF	2	1	1	0	2	4
13	Ajax	2	1	0	1	1	3
14	Borac Banja Luka	2	1	0	1	1	3
15	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	0	3
16	SC Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Gent	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	SC Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	FC Nordsjaelland	2	0	2	0	0	2
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2	0	2	0	0	2
21	Riga	2	0	2	0	0	2
22	FK Crvena Zvezda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	CSKA Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	FK Jablonec	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	FC Midtjylland	2	0	1	1	-1	1
26	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
27	Pafos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Heart Of Midlothian	2	0	1	1	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
31	Kairat Almaty	2	0	1	1	-4	1
32	FC Thun	2	0	0	2	-2	0
33	Lincoln Red Imps FC	2	0	0	2	-4	0
34	KuPS	2	0	0	2	-4	0
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Copenhagen win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.