· Analysis updated 01:33 UTC
Fjolnir vs Thróttur Vogar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.64 expected goals for Fjolnir and 1.77 for Thróttur Vogar, a combined total of 4.41. That distribution gives Fjolnir the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.
Model pick
Fjolnir to Win
56.6% probability
Expected goals
2.64 – 1.77
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 2–26.6%
- 3–16.6%
- 3–25.8%
- 1–15.7%
Why the model likes this
Fjolnir home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fjolnir to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 18% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.64 goals for Fjolnir and 1.77 for Thróttur Vogar, a combined 4.41 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Fjolnir
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Selfoss · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KFG · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-29T19:15:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Olafsiik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-24T19:15:00.000Z · H vs Haukar · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Magni · 2-5 (L)
Thróttur Vogar
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Deild table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | Selfoss | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Kári | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Fjolnir | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Vikingur Olafsiik | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 25 |
| 6 | Kormákur / Hvöt | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Dalvík / Reynir | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 | Magni | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 21 |
| 9 | Fjardabyggd / Leiknir | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Thróttur Vogar | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Hvíti riddarinn | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | KFG | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -29 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.