Macedonia · Second League · Regular Season - 2614:00

02

Saturday, 25 April 2026

SkopjeWWWWW

· Analysis updated 04:40 UTC

FK Prespa Resen vs Skopje Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for FK Prespa Resen and 3.13 for Skopje, a combined total of 3.74. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws roughly 14% of the time.

Model pick

Skopje to Win

86.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.60 – 3.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Prespa Resen win4%
Draw10%
Skopje win86%

Double chance 1X

14%

Double chance 12

90%

Double chance X2

96%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score43%

Correct score

  • 0–312.2%
  • 0–211.7%
  • 0–49.6%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–37.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Skopje away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 4% / 10% / 86% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.60 goals for FK Prespa Resen and 3.13 for Skopje, a combined 3.74 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 43%, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

FK Prespa Resen

    Skopje

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Second League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bregalnica Štip3022535571
    2Skopje3023255371
    3Shkëndija Haraçinë3021634869
    4Ohrid3021546168
    5Belasica3018483658
    6Osogovo3016682654
    7Novaci3015691651
    8Detonit Plachkovica3014792449
    9Kozuv Gevgelija3012992445
    10Teteks30133141242
    11Sasa309912-636
    12Vardar Negotino306420-5822
    13Sloga Vinica304323-5315
    14FK Prespa Resen305025-4615
    15Pobeda303225-9811
    16Golemo Konjari302127-947

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.