· Analysis updated 05:52 UTC
FK Prespa Resen vs Skopje Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.73 expected goals for FK Prespa Resen and 2.40 for Skopje, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws roughly 26% of the time.
Model pick
Skopje to Win
74.5% probability
Expected goals
0.73 – 2.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
26%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
91%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–212.7%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–310.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.6%
Why the model likes this
Skopje away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 9% / 16% / 75% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.73 goals for FK Prespa Resen and 2.40 for Skopje, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 47%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
FK Prespa Resen
Skopje
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Štip | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 71 |
| 2 | Skopje | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 53 | 71 |
| 3 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | Ohrid | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 61 | 68 |
| 5 | Belasica | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 58 |
| 6 | Osogovo | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 54 |
| 7 | Novaci | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 51 |
| 8 | Detonit Plachkovica | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 49 |
| 9 | Kozuv Gevgelija | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 45 |
| 10 | Teteks | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 42 |
| 11 | Sasa | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Vardar Negotino | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -58 | 22 |
| 13 | Sloga Vinica | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | -53 | 15 |
| 14 | FK Prespa Resen | 30 | 5 | 0 | 25 | -46 | 15 |
| 15 | Pobeda | 30 | 3 | 2 | 25 | -98 | 11 |
| 16 | Golemo Konjari | 30 | 2 | 1 | 27 | -94 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.