Brazil · Carioca U20 · Regular Season - 213:00

30

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 23:45 UTC

Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.00 for Boavista U20, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Fluminense U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Fluminense U20 to Win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fluminense U20 win61%
Draw21%
Boavista U20 win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–010.0%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–06.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Fluminense U20 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Fluminense U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.00 for Boavista U20, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Fluminense U20

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Boavista U20 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nova Iguaçu U20 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Botafogo U20 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras U20 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-06-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Athletico PR U20 · 0-0 (D)

Boavista U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.