Fluminense U20 vs Boavista U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.00 for Boavista U20, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Fluminense U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Fluminense U20 to Win

60.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Fluminense U20 win61%

Draw21%

Boavista U20 win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–010.0%
1–110.0%
2–010.0%
2–110.0%
3–06.6%

Why the model likes this

Fluminense U20 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 0 of the last 5 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fluminense U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Fluminense U20 and 1.00 for Boavista U20, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Fluminense U20

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Boavista U20 · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nova Iguaçu U20 · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Botafogo U20 · 2-3 (L)
2026-06-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Palmeiras U20 · 0-3 (L)
2026-06-20T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Athletico PR U20 · 0-0 (D)

Boavista U20

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · Fluminense U20 3-0 Boavista U20 (Carioca U20)
2026-03-10T14:00:00.000Z · Fluminense U20 2-0 Boavista U20 (Copa Rio U20)
2025-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · Fluminense U20 2-0 Boavista U20 (Carioca U20)
2024-06-29T17:45:00.000Z · Fluminense U20 0-1 Boavista U20 (Carioca U20)
2024-03-11T00:00:00.000Z · Fluminense U20 5-0 Boavista U20 (Copa Rio U20)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.