Gaziantep Stadyumu · Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye · Analysis updated 23:57 UTC
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.30 for Alanyaspor, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives Gaziantep FK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
Gaziantep FK or Draw
64.2% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
Why the model likes this
Gaziantep FK home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gaziantep FK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.30 for Alanyaspor, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.50 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.40 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.66 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.28 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 3.55 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 1.85 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 3.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.33 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 9.50 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 6.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.11 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.70 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.05 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.45 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.50 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Gaziantep FK
- 2026-08-15T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alanyaspor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs IMT Novi Beograd · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Vozdovac · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Başakşehir · 1-2 (L)
Alanyaspor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.