Gaziantep Stadyumu · Referee Yasin Kol, Türkiye · Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
Gaziantep FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.04 for Alanyaspor, a combined total of 2.31. That distribution gives Gaziantep FK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Gaziantep FK or Draw
69.6% probability
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–18.3%
Why the model likes this
Gaziantep FK home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gaziantep FK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 28% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.04 for Alanyaspor, a combined 2.31 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Gaziantep FK
- 2026-08-15T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alanyaspor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs IMT Novi Beograd · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Vozdovac · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Başakşehir · 1-2 (L)
Alanyaspor
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.