Planet Group Arena · Analysis updated 03:47 UTC
Gent vs Club Brugge KV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for Gent and 1.58 for Club Brugge KV, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Club Brugge KV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.
Model pick
Club Brugge KV or Draw
66.4% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
58%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.2%
Why the model likes this
Club Brugge KV away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Club Brugge KV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 34% / 24% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.39 goals for Gent and 1.58 for Club Brugge KV, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Recent form
Gent
Club Brugge KV
- 2026-08-15T18:45:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-07T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Kortrijk · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rennes · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Heerenveen · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Antwerp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Zulte Waregem | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Cercle Brugge | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lommel United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | SK Beveren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.