· Analysis updated 23:46 UTC
Grêmio Valparaíso U20 vs Cruzeiro U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.12 expected goals for Grêmio Valparaíso U20 and 1.40 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined total of 4.52. That distribution gives Grêmio Valparaíso U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.
Model pick
Grêmio Valparaíso U20 to Win
71.4% probability
Expected goals
3.12 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.0%
- 3–05.5%
- 3–25.4%
Why the model likes this
Cruzeiro U20 away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Grêmio Valparaíso U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 15% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.12 goals for Grêmio Valparaíso U20 and 1.40 for Cruzeiro U20, a combined 4.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 72%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Grêmio Valparaíso U20
Cruzeiro U20
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nacional de Muriae U20 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Itabirito U20 · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs América Mineiro U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Paranoa U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlético Mineiro U20 · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Brasiliense U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasiliense U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 |
| 2 | Legiao U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Sobradinho U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 |
| 4 | Taguatinga U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Capital TO U20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Samambaia U20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Gama U20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Brazlândia FC SAF U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | CFZ Brasilia U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 10 | ARUC U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -14 | 0 |
| 11 | Planaltina U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -21 | 0 |
| 1 | Planaltina DF U20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | Grêmio Valparaíso U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Canaã U20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Brasília U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Brasília U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Paranoa U20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro U20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | Ceilandense U20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 4 |
| 9 | Santa Maria U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Luziânia U20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 11 | Ceilândia U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.