Hartlepool vs Eastleigh Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Hartlepool and 0.89 for Eastleigh, a combined total of 2.41. That distribution gives Hartlepool the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Hartlepool to Win

52.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hartlepool win52%

Draw26%

Eastleigh win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–013.6%
1–112.2%
2–010.4%
2–19.2%
0–09.0%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Hartlepool to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 26% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Hartlepool and 0.89 for Eastleigh, a combined 2.41 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Hartlepool to Win is the headline pick at 52% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Hartlepool

Eastleigh

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	3	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	2	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	2	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Boston United	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	0	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Aldershot Town	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Kidderminster Harriers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Yeovil Town	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	FC Halifax Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.