Denmark · 1. Division · Regular Season - 314:00
HobroWWLDD

10

Saturday, 8 August 2026

DS Arena · Referee M. Lykke · Analysis updated 04:33 UTC

Hobro vs AB Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Hobro and 1.18 for AB Copenhagen, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Hobro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Hobro or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hobro win44%
Draw26%
AB Copenhagen win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • AB Copenhagen away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hobro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Hobro and 1.18 for AB Copenhagen, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Hobro

    AB Copenhagen

    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Lyngby2212642442
    2Hvidovre2210931139
    3Hillerød221075437
    4Esbjerg221147337
    5Kolding IF22967633
    6AC Horsens22868230
    7Aalborg22778228
    8B 93228410-1028
    9Aarhus Fremad22697527
    10Hobro22679-925
    11HB Koge225512-1520
    12Middelfart222614-2312
    1Lyngby3218683360
    2AC Horsens3215981554
    3Esbjerg3215710252
    4Hillerød3213118-150
    5Hvidovre3211138446
    6Kolding IF3210814-338
    1Aalborg32121010346
    2Aarhus Fremad321111101544
    3Hobro3211912-342
    4HB Koge3211714-640
    5B 933210715-1437
    6Middelfart323623-4515

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.