Denmark · 1. Division · Regular Season - 314:00
HobroWWWL

10

Saturday, 8 August 2026

DS Arena · Referee M. Lykke · Analysis updated 05:33 UTC

Hobro vs AB Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.61 expected goals for Hobro and 1.03 for AB Copenhagen, a combined total of 2.64. That distribution gives Hobro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Hobro to Win

50.9% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hobro win51%
Draw25%
AB Copenhagen win24%

Double chance 1X

76%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score51%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–17.4%

Why the model likes this

  • AB Copenhagen away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hobro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 25% / 24% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.61 goals for Hobro and 1.03 for AB Copenhagen, a combined 2.64 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Hobro

    AB Copenhagen

    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Vejle4310410
    2Hvidovre4310410
    3Hobro430129
    4FC Fredericia422068
    5Aarhus Fremad421127
    6Aalborg4211-17
    7Esbjerg4112-14
    8Vendsyssel FF3021-12
    9AB Copenhagen3021-12
    10Kolding IF4022-22
    11Hillerød4013-31
    12HB Koge4004-90

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.