Holbæk B&I vs AB Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Holbæk B&I and 1.18 for AB Copenhagen, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Holbæk B&I the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Holbæk B&I or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Holbæk B&I win44%

Draw26%

AB Copenhagen win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Holbæk B&I home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
AB Copenhagen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Holbæk B&I to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Holbæk B&I and 1.18 for AB Copenhagen, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Holbæk B&I

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sundby · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Holstebro · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs AB Copenhagen · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-01T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs HIK · 3-1 (W)

AB Copenhagen

2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hobro · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Holbæk B&I · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Fredericia · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vejle · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 3-3 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · Holbæk B&I 1-2 AB Copenhagen (DBU Pokalen)
2024-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · Holbæk B&I 2-0 AB Copenhagen (DBU Pokalen)
2015-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · Holbæk B&I 1-0 AB Copenhagen (2nd Division - Group 1)
2015-08-23T11:30:00.000Z · Holbæk B&I 2-1 AB Copenhagen (2nd Division - Group 1)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.