Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group Stage13:00
JIPPOLLWDW

01

Saturday, 15 August 2026

SJK AkatemiaWLLDD

· Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for JIPPO and 0.44 for SJK Akatemia, a combined total of 1.92. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.

Model pick

JIPPO to Win

63.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.49 – 0.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

JIPPO win64%
Draw26%
SJK Akatemia win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score27%

Correct score

  • 1–021.7%
  • 2–016.2%
  • 0–014.6%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 3–08.0%

Why the model likes this

  • JIPPO home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 26% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.49 goals for JIPPO and 0.44 for SJK Akatemia, a combined 1.92 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 27%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%.

Recent form

JIPPO

  • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 3-1 (W)

SJK Akatemia

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ykkösliiga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kooteepee1913331342
    2PK-351911531738
    3Haka1911441837
    4JIPPO19874831
    5JäPS19919-828
    6EIF18729-623
    7MP18639-521
    8KäPa194411-1216
    9Klubi-04192710-913
    10SJK Akatemia192611-1612

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.