· Referee A. Ropponen · Analysis updated 12:16 UTC
JIPPO vs SJK Akatemia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.97 expected goals for JIPPO and 0.57 for SJK Akatemia, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
JIPPO win
70.5% probability
Expected goals
1.97 – 0.57
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
JIPPO home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SJK Akatemia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 20% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.97 goals for JIPPO and 0.57 for SJK Akatemia, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.5%
- 2–015.3%
- 3–010.0%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–18.7%
Recent form
JIPPO
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-2 (L)
SJK Akatemia
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is JIPPO win, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.