Brahenkentta · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
KäPa vs Haka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for KäPa and 2.19 for Haka, a combined total of 3.27. That distribution gives Haka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Haka to Win
62.5% probability
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.1%
- 1–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–37.2%
Why the model likes this
KäPa home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Haka away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 20% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.08 goals for KäPa and 2.19 for Haka, a combined 3.27 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Haka
- 2026-08-14T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · H vs JIPPO · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.