Sweden · Ettan - Södra · Södra - 2217:00
KristianstadLWLDL

17:00 UTC

Thursday, 17 September 2026

OlympicDLWWW

· Analysis updated 03:29 UTC

Kristianstad vs Olympic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Kristianstad and 1.46 for Olympic, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Olympic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Olympic or Draw

63.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.46

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kristianstad win37%
Draw25%
Olympic win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.6%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–07.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Olympic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 37% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Kristianstad and 1.46 for Olympic, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

  • Model confidence

    Olympic or Draw is the headline pick at 63% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Kristianstad

    Olympic

      Head-to-head

      Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

      Ettan - Södra table

      Full league page →
      #TeamPWDLGDPts
      1Trelleborg1610602236
      2Hässleholms IF179351230
      3AFC Malmo178541129
      4Atvidabergs FF168531129
      5Lund17773728
      6Rosengård16754626
      7Tvååker17746-225
      8Olympic17728-223
      9Jonkopings Sodra17647522
      10Eskilsminne16637-321
      11Trollhättan17476-719
      12Angelholms FF17386-217
      13Laholm175210-817
      14Kristianstad17458-817
      15Skövde AIK16385-1117
      16Utsikten161213-315

      Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.