Lithuania · 1 Lyga · Regular Season - 2311:00
MinijaWWWLW

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 03:17 UTC

Minija vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 4.06 expected goals for Minija and 0.51 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 4.57. That distribution gives Minija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 94%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 94% favourite still loses or draws roughly 6% of the time.

Model pick

Minija to Win

93.7% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

4.06 – 0.51

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Minija win94%
Draw5%
Transinvest 2 win2%

Double chance 1X

98%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

6%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score38%

Correct score

  • 4–011.7%
  • 3–011.6%
  • 5–09.5%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 6–06.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Transinvest 2 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Minija to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 94%, against 94% / 5% / 2% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 4.06 goals for Minija and 0.51 for Transinvest 2, a combined 4.57 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 38%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Minija

    Transinvest 2

    • 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Minija2017124252
    2Babrungas2016313051
    3Tauras2012261438
    4Neptūną Klaipėda201226338
    5Dainava1910541435
    6Be1 NFA191126735
    7BFA201028032
    8Žalgiris II20947331
    9Atmosfera19748525
    10Jonava20659-223
    11Garliava19649322
    12Transinvest 2205312-2618
    13Hegelmann II205114-2416
    14Kauno Žalgiris II204115-1913
    15Ekranas203215-2311
    16FA Šiauliai II202513-2711

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.