· Analysis updated 04:10 UTC
Minija vs Transinvest 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.06 expected goals for Minija and 0.51 for Transinvest 2, a combined total of 4.57. That distribution gives Minija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 94%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 94% favourite still loses or draws roughly 6% of the time.
Model pick
Minija to Win
93.7% probability
Expected goals
4.06 – 0.51
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
98%
Double chance 12
95%
Double chance X2
6%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–011.7%
- 3–011.6%
- 5–09.5%
- 2–08.5%
- 6–06.4%
Why the model likes this
Transinvest 2 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Minija to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 94%, against 94% / 5% / 2% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.06 goals for Minija and 0.51 for Transinvest 2, a combined 4.57 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 38%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Minija
Transinvest 2
- 2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Atmosfera · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs BFA · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Babrungas · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Dainava · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Neptūną Klaipėda · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1 Lyga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 52 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 51 |
| 3 | Tauras | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Dainava | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 35 |
| 6 | Be1 NFA | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 35 |
| 7 | BFA | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 31 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Jonava | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 23 |
| 11 | Garliava | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
| 14 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -19 | 13 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | -23 | 11 |
| 16 | FA Šiauliai II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -27 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.