Strandvallen · Referee A. Ladeback · Analysis updated 02:43 UTC
Mjallby AIF vs Sirius Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Mjallby AIF and 1.60 for Sirius, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Sirius the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Sirius to Win
45.5% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-market-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–07.2%
Why the model likes this
Mjallby AIF home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sirius to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 30% / 25% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Mjallby AIF and 1.60 for Sirius, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 3.25 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.60 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 4.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.75 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.44 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.05 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 10.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 5.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.17 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.57 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.20 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.73 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.33 | 10Bet |
Recent form
Mjallby AIF
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sirius · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-08-11T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Bratislava · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs IF Elfsborg · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 0-0 (D)
Sirius
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.