Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Nice vs Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

Model pick

Nice or Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Nice win44%

Draw26%

Paris Saint Germain win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Nice home form
7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Nice and 1.18 for Paris Saint Germain, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Nice

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hull City · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cagliari · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Marseille · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Nimes · 4-0 (W)

Paris Saint Germain

Head-to-head

2026-03-21T20:05:00.000Z · Nice 0-4 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2025-11-01T16:00:00.000Z · Nice 0-1 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2025-04-25T18:45:00.000Z · Nice 3-1 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2024-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · Nice 1-1 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2024-05-15T19:00:00.000Z · Nice 1-2 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2024-03-13T20:10:00.000Z · Nice 1-3 Paris Saint Germain (Coupe de France)
2023-09-15T19:00:00.000Z · Nice 3-2 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2023-04-08T19:00:00.000Z · Nice 0-2 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2022-10-01T19:00:00.000Z · Nice 1-2 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)
2022-03-05T20:00:00.000Z · Nice 1-0 Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1)

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Angers	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Lille	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nice	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Lens	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.