Finland · Kakkonen - Lohko B · Group B14:00
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17

Saturday, 13 June 2026

Ilves IIWLWLD

Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 02:40 UTC

NJS vs Ilves II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for NJS and 3.72 for Ilves II, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 88%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 88% favourite still loses or draws roughly 12% of the time.

Model pick

Ilves II to Win

87.6% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.83 – 3.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

NJS win4%
Draw8%
Ilves II win88%

Double chance 1X

12%

Double chance 12

92%

Double chance X2

96%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 0–39.1%
  • 0–48.4%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 1–47.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Ilves II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 88%, against 4% / 8% / 88% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.83 goals for NJS and 3.72 for Ilves II, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 82% and both teams to score at 54%, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

NJS

    Ilves II

    • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Kakkonen - Lohko B table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Honka1712413740
    2ÅIFK1711331936
    3HJS Akatemia17944831
    4Ilves II178632230
    5EPS179261129
    6P-Iirot17836627
    7GrIFK17638-921
    8EBK174310-1415
    9Musa172312-379
    10NJS170116-431

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.