Klaukkalan urheilualue · Analysis updated 11:33 UTC
NJS vs Ilves II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for NJS and 3.66 for Ilves II, a combined total of 4.53. That distribution gives Ilves II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 87%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–3 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 87% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ilves II win
86.5% probability
Expected goals
0.87 – 3.66
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NJS home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ilves II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ilves II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 87%, against 5% / 9% / 87% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.87 goals for NJS and 3.66 for Ilves II, a combined 4.53 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
14%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
95%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–38.8%
- 0–48.0%
- 1–37.7%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–47.0%
Recent form
NJS
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs GrIFK · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs EBK · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Musa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-1 (W)
Ilves II
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs NJS · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs HJS Akatemia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Musa · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs P-Iirot · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Honka · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ilves II win, at 86.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 87% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.