PAOK vs Anderlecht Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for PAOK and 1.50 for Anderlecht, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives PAOK the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

PAOK or Draw

66.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

PAOK win44%

Draw23%

Anderlecht win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.2%
2–18.9%
1–27.6%
1–06.8%
2–26.7%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates PAOK to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 23% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for PAOK and 1.50 for Anderlecht, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
PAOK or Draw is the headline pick at 67% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

PAOK

Anderlecht

2026-08-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-06T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-30T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby FF · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Hammarby FF · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.