Pirin Razlog vs FK Minyor Pernik Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.94 expected goals for Pirin Razlog and 1.93 for FK Minyor Pernik, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives FK Minyor Pernik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

FK Minyor Pernik to Win

60.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Pirin Razlog win18%

Draw22%

FK Minyor Pernik win61%

Double chance 1X

40%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

0–111.0%
0–210.6%
1–110.3%
1–29.9%
0–36.8%

Why the model likes this

Pirin Razlog home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Minyor Pernik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 18% / 22% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.94 goals for Pirin Razlog and 1.93 for FK Minyor Pernik, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 52%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Pirin Razlog

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Minyor Pernik · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Belasitsa · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-30T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Strumska Slava · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-21T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Germaneya · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Oborishte · 1-3 (L)

FK Minyor Pernik

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Third League - Southwest table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Minyor Pernik	2	2	0	0	4	6
2	Septemvri Simitli	2	2	0	0	3	6
3	Septemvri Sofia II	2	2	0	0	2	6
4	Bansko	2	1	1	0	3	4
5	Strumska Slava	2	1	1	0	2	4
6	Belasitsa	2	1	0	1	1	3
7	Levski Sofia II	2	1	0	1	0	3
8	Botev Ihtiman	2	1	0	1	0	3
9	Kostinbrod	2	1	0	1	0	3
10	Slavia Sofia II	2	1	0	1	0	3
11	Kyustendil	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Oborishte	2	0	2	0	0	2
13	CSKA Sofia III	2	0	2	0	0	2
14	Natsional Sofia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Chavdar Etropole	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Slivnishki geroy	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Balkan Botevgrad	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Pirin Razlog	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.