Porto U19 vs Benfica U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.83 expected goals for Porto U19 and 0.55 for Benfica U19, a combined total of 1.38. That distribution gives Porto U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 38%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 16% for over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 25%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Porto U19 or Draw

77.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.83 – 0.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Porto U19 win39%

Draw38%

Benfica U19 win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

62%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals40%

Over 2.5 goals16%

Over 3.5 goals5%

Both teams to score24%

Correct score

0–025.1%
1–020.8%
0–113.9%
1–111.5%
2–08.6%

Why the model likes this

Benfica U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Porto U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 38% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.83 goals for Porto U19 and 0.55 for Benfica U19, a combined 1.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% and both teams to score at 24%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 25%.

Recent form

Porto U19

Benfica U19

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.