Porto U19 vs Benfica U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Porto U19 and 1.38 for Benfica U19, a combined total of 3.73. That distribution gives Porto U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Porto U19 to Win

59.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Porto U19 win59%

Draw19%

Benfica U19 win22%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

2–19.2%
1–17.8%
3–17.2%
2–06.7%
2–26.3%

Why the model likes this

Benfica U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Porto U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Porto U19 and 1.38 for Benfica U19, a combined 3.73 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 68%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Porto U19

Benfica U19

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.