Kosovo · Superliga · Regular Season - 3414:00

33

Sunday, 17 May 2026

· Analysis updated 04:34 UTC

Prishtina vs Ferizaj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Prishtina and 1.10 for Ferizaj, a combined total of 2.91. That distribution gives Prishtina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Prishtina to Win

53.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Prishtina win54%
Draw23%
Ferizaj win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 0–16.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Ferizaj away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Prishtina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 23% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Prishtina and 1.10 for Ferizaj, a combined 2.91 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Prishtina

    Ferizaj

    • 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Superliga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Drita36206101566
    2Malisheva3618513859
    3Ballkani36177122058
    4Dukagjini36131211651
    5Gjilani3614913-151
    6Drenica Skënderaj3615516-950
    7Prishtina36131013149
    8Llapi36131013-449
    9Ferizaj369918-1536
    10Prishtina e Re368721-2131

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.