Ukraine · Druha Liga · Regular Season - 3310:00

03

Friday, 22 May 2026

· Analysis updated 02:41 UTC

Real Pharm vs Kulykiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Real Pharm and 2.53 for Kulykiv, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Kulykiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws roughly 21% of the time.

Model pick

Kulykiv to Win

79.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.60 – 2.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Pharm win7%
Draw14%
Kulykiv win79%

Double chance 1X

21%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

93%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 0–214.0%
  • 0–311.8%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–47.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Kulykiv away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kulykiv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 7% / 14% / 79% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.60 goals for Real Pharm and 2.53 for Kulykiv, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 42%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Real Pharm

    Kulykiv

    • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Prykarpattia · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Chernihiv · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Metal Kharkiv · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-31T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Kyiv · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.