Ukraine · Druha Liga · Regular Season - 3310:00

03

Friday, 22 May 2026

· Analysis updated 02:40 UTC

Real Pharm vs Kulykiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Real Pharm and 2.53 for Kulykiv, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Kulykiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws roughly 21% of the time.

Model pick

Kulykiv to Win

79.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.60 – 2.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Pharm win7%
Draw14%
Kulykiv win79%

Double chance 1X

21%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

93%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 0–214.0%
  • 0–311.8%
  • 0–111.1%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–47.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Kulykiv away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Kulykiv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 7% / 14% / 79% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.60 goals for Real Pharm and 2.53 for Kulykiv, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 42%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Real Pharm

    Kulykiv

    • 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Prykarpattia · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Chernihiv · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Metal Kharkiv · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-31T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Kyiv · 2-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

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    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.