· Analysis updated 23:00 UTC
Redditch United vs Halesowen Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.95 expected goals for Redditch United and 0.78 for Halesowen Town, a combined total of 1.73. That distribution gives Redditch United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.
Model pick
Redditch United or Draw
71.4% probability
Expected goals
0.95 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
66%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–017.7%
- 1–016.8%
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.1%
- 2–08.0%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Redditch United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 34% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.95 goals for Redditch United and 0.78 for Halesowen Town, a combined 1.73 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 25% and both teams to score at 33%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Model confidence
Redditch United or Draw is the headline pick at 71% with high confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Redditch United
Halesowen Town
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Non League Premier - Southern Central table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Kettering Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rushall Olympic | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Anstey Nomads | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club Warwick | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Redditch United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Halesowen Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Needham Market | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Leamington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Peterborough Sports | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bishop's Stortford | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.