Sayana Haskovo vs Spartak Plovdiv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Sayana Haskovo and 3.00 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined total of 6.50. That distribution gives Sayana Haskovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 94% for over 2.5 goals and 91% for both teams to score, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.

Model pick

Sayana Haskovo to Win

49.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

3.50 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sayana Haskovo win50%

Draw16%

Spartak Plovdiv win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals98%

Over 2.5 goals94%

Over 3.5 goals88%

Both teams to score91%

Correct score

3–24.8%
3–34.8%
4–24.2%
4–34.2%
2–24.1%

Why the model likes this

Spartak Plovdiv away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sayana Haskovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 16% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for Sayana Haskovo and 3.00 for Spartak Plovdiv, a combined 6.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 94% and both teams to score at 91%, with 3–2 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.

Recent form

Sayana Haskovo

Spartak Plovdiv

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sozopol · 4-3 (W)
2026-05-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Yambol 1915 · 2-4 (L)
2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Maritsa Plovdiv · 3-1 (W)
2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nesebar · 1-6 (L)
2026-05-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rozova dolina · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.